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/ The written review

Deep Listening: What We Didn’t Consider

25 September 2026

/ Summary

The proposal’s biggest unexamined decision was pointing Deep Listening, a mirror-lined cone, southwest, into both the winter sunset and the prevailing sea breeze. That single choice creates the two most serious issues, glare and wind. The rest are standard engineering and maintenance questions the proposal left open. Each is shown in the blueprint simulations.

/ Site and climate baseline

The sculpture‘s mouth faces 229° (southwest), straight into the afternoon sun and 18–41° off the prevailing west and west-southwest winds. Every issue below follows from that orientation, the exposed shoreline and the filled ground.

Sun path at the pad. These are computed with the NOAA solar position algorithm for the exact coordinates.

The sun sits within 45° of the mouth’s axis for about 970 hours a year, all from August to April; it never does from May to July. On the winter solstice it sets only 11° off the axis, which is why the glare peaks in December.

Wind. Daytime wind on the island comes mostly from the west (32% of daytime hours) and west-southwest (23%), strongest on May to July afternoons. The only record on the island is the former Naval Station’s weather station (NCEI ISD 7249436, 6,760 readings, 1983–96, with gaps in 1988–91 and 1994). NOAA’s Yerba Buena Island gauge (9414782) has no wind sensor, and NOAA’s harbour stations read 25–43% below the island, most likely because most of them sit at harbour piers sheltered by the city and port. The Wind section has the numbers.

Design wind and exposure. The ASCE Hazard Tool4 gives a basic wind speed of 92 mph at the pad’s coordinates (3-second gust at 33 ft, Risk Category II, ASCE 7-22; also 92 mph under ASCE 7-16). The site is not in a hurricane-prone or special wind region. More than 5,000 ft of open water lies upwind and the pad is within 600 ft of it, so Exposure D applies (ASCE 7-22 Sec. 26.7; the same rule appears in CBC 2022 Sec. 1609.45, which adopts ASCE 7-16).

/ Sun

The polished panels are nowhere near the car-melting kind of hazard, but they turn the sculpture into a glare source. At head height it reaches 1–2.2× direct sun for about 550 hours a year. When the sun lines up with the axis, it also throws a line of about 3.8× sun onto the pad.

How it happens. The inside of the sculpture is a concave cone of mirrors. When the sun is in the mouth, each polished strip bounces light across to the opposite side and toward the axis, and some of it bounces again. The polished panels redirect roughly 10–30% of the sunlight that hits the sculpture, typically about 20%. Where several of those reflections overlap, the light adds up to more than direct sun.

Hours of reflected glare at head height
0204060JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

1× sun or more1.5× sun or more

Hours per month with at least one spot at 1.7 m above the given level. Sampled every 4th day at 10-minute steps.

Brightest reflected spot each month
0×1×2×3×4×JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Head height (1.7 m)Ground / pad

1.0 = the intensity of direct sunlight

When and where.

Beyond the sculpture. At a winter sunset some of the redirected light leaves at eye level toward Avenue of the Palms. It travels northeast, so it reaches only people facing southwest, who are already looking into the low sun. Around midday, some heads along the path at eye level, so walkers and cyclists see bright glints from the side.

Precedents. This is the same mechanism, at far lower intensity, that made 20 Fenchurch Street in London melt parts of a parked car in 2013 (Physics World25; a Siemens summary24 models the effect). When the same architect’s Vdara hotel in Las Vegas opened in 2009, guests said its pool deck got hot enough to singe hair and melt plastic (Physics World25). Those were buildings; this is a walk-through at face height.

Why it was avoidable. The mouth faces 229° and the winter sun sets at 241°. At this latitude the sun never rises or sets north of 59° or 301°. A mouth facing due north (0°) never has the sun within 45° of its axis. Re-running the same full-year model with the mouth at 0° cuts head-height glare of 1× sun or more from about 550 to about 280 hours a year, lowers the peak from 2.2× to 1.7× and removes the 3.8× line on the pad (its peak drops to 0.4×). What remains comes at sunrise and sunset from April to September, when the low sun swings far enough north to catch the mirrors. A brushed finish on the lower panels would soften that too.

/ Wind

The sculpture is a 175 sq ft scoop turned toward the prevailing wind. It takes about 4,200 lbf at design wind speed. On ordinary days the open lawn around it already breaks San Francisco’s walking-comfort yardstick, and the throat speeds the breeze up by another 20–50%.

Orientation. The mouth faces 229°. West winds (270°, 32% of daytime hours on the island) arrive 41° off the mouth’s axis, and west-southwest winds (248°, 23%) only 18° off. Two-thirds of daytime hours blow within 45° of the axis, into the concave side, the worst case for drag.

Design wind load. Figures follow ASCE 7-22 Chapter 29 for other structures. The standard has no force coefficient for an open funnel, so I computed one with a 3D simulation (below).

3D simulation. I modelled the sculpture at full scale in OpenFOAM27, a standard open-source flow solver: a steady turbulent solution (realizable k-ε) on about 480,000 cells, with the Exposure D wind profile at the inlet and the panels as a thin steel shell, for six wind directions. The same setup gives 1.31 for a hollow hemisphere facing the wind, against a handbook value of 1.42 (Engineers Edge26), so the sculpture‘s values below are scaled up by that 9% (1.42 / 1.31). A coarser mesh gave 4% less, so mesh resolution adds little doubt. Cf is on the fixed 175 sq ft area and the pressure at 7 ft, so it drops straight into the ASCE formula.

The worst case is the ordinary west wind, not one straight into the mouth, and the force acts about 8 ft up, above the 7 ft I had assumed. The top panel also works like a wing, adding uplift of about half the horizontal force. A steady simulation still misses gust peaks and panel flutter, so a stamped design would want a wind-tunnel test.

That is manageable with a proper footing. The 10 × 20 ft pad (about 15,000 lb if it is a typical 6 in slab) outweighs the uplift, but it was never engineered as a foundation. The real risks are connection fatigue and panel flutter: every gust cycle flexes 32 thin panels and their fasteners, thousands of times a day on a windy site.

Speed-up through the throat. The mouth is 5.7 times larger in area than the throat, so it funnels air. Much of that air spills around the rim instead of passing through. Purpose-built wind concentrators report throat speed-ups of about 1 to 2.6× (some studies up to 3×), mostly from simulations rather than measurements (INVELOX review8). An open funnel without a closed duct does less. My own 2D flow solutions of this exact shape settle at 1.3–1.4× in the throat, and up to about 2× where air whips around the rim edges. I use 1.2–1.5× for the throat.

How often it matters. Open ground at the pad already passes 11 mph at head height in about a quarter to a third of daytime hours. In the throat that rises to roughly half. Wind builds through the day and peaks on May to July afternoons.

Daytime hours over 11 mph at head height
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%Open lawnThroat 1.2×Throat 1.3×Throat 1.4×Throat 1.5×SF comfort yardstick: 10%30%41%47%51%58%

7 AM–6 PM. Dot = middle, whisker = range across two methods and two ground roughnesses.

Mean wind at head height, mph
JanFeb11Mar11131313Apr111315161616May131517171616Jun131517161716Jul121517161616Aug111416151615Sep1214141414Oct1111NovDec7a8a9a10a11a12p1p2p3p4p5p

Open lawn. Oakland airport 2021–25 mapped onto the island record; head height = 0.78 × 10 m. Numbers mark 11 mph and over.

Head-height values scale the island’s readings (anemometer height assumed 10 m) down by 18–25% (log wind profile, open water to open shoreline). Two methods agree on the shares: the island’s own daytime readings, and Oakland airport’s hourly record from 2021 to August 2025 mapped onto the island’s wind distribution. Oakland is about 6% windier now than in 1983–96, so the older island record does not overstate today’s wind.

The yardstick is the comfort criterion in SF Planning Code Sec. 1481 until Ordinance 245-251 (passed December 2025): 11 mph equivalent wind speed in walking areas, exceeded no more than 10% of the time from 7 AM to 6 PM. That ordinance dropped the comfort criterion and turned the hazard rule (26 mph for a single hour a year) into a Nine-Hour Hazard Criterion: 26 mph equivalent wind speed for nine or more hours a year. Sec. 148 covers only new buildings over 85 ft in downtown districts, not art on Treasure Island, so it is a yardstick here, not a rule. Equivalent wind speed adds a gust allowance to the hourly mean, so the mean speeds above understate it slightly.

Knock-on effects.

/ Ground

The pad sits on roughly 30–50 ft of loose, saturated sand (hydraulic fill over natural shoal sand) that liquefied in the 1989 earthquake, inside a shoreline strip the city is holding for sea level rise. A 10 × 20 ft slab laid on the surface was never going to be an acceptable foundation.

The fix is ordinary engineering: a geotechnical report, and a mat or drilled-pier foundation sized for liquefaction and the wind moment in the Wind section. Its absence from the proposal is the kind of thing a selection panel notices.

/ Salt air

At about 275 ft from the Bay, with a sea breeze blowing salt at it most afternoons, the sculpture sits in a severe marine exposure, though a sheltered bay is milder than open surf. The mirror finish and the rainbow colors are both the parts that suffer first.

None of this rules out the design. It changes the material spec, the budget and the maintenance plan, and the proposal addressed none of them.

/ People

The throat is the proposal’s invitation to walk through, and it is 2 in short of the 80 in headroom the ADA requires on a walking route. Its top edge also curves down over the walkway where a cane can’t detect it.

Whether the ADA applies depends on whether the pass-through is designated as a route. The proposal drew people walking through it, so a reviewer would treat it as one.

Climbing and falls.

Skateboarding. A concave steel bowl with a 40° lip on a smooth concrete pad is a skate feature. Expect wax, grind marks on the polish and the rims, and a request for skate-stoppers that would change the look.

/ Night lighting, birds, water and upkeep

These are smaller issues, but each is a question a parks agency asks. Together they show whether a team has thought past opening day.

/ What we would change

Most of these problems trace back to one decision: facing the mouth southwest, into both the afternoon sun and the prevailing wind. Changing that one decision would have solved more than any single material or detail change.

The common thread: each of these can be tested on screen before the submission, as the companion simulation now does.

/ Methods, assumptions and sources

The sun and geometry figures are computed from the proposal drawings, so they are exact for the design as drawn. The wind and ground figures lean on codes and published data and need a site survey, a geotechnical report and a structural engineer to confirm.

What I computed.

Assumptions to confirm.

Sources.

  1. SF Planning Code Sec. 148, ground-level wind, as amended by Ordinance 245-25 (current codified text checked)
  2. SF Planning Code Sec. 139, bird-safe standards, as enacted by Ordinance 199-11
  3. 2010 ADA Standards, Sec. 307 Protruding Objects; US Access Board text
  4. ASCE Hazard Tool (ASCE 7-22 and 7-16, 37.81958, −122.37321)
  5. CBC 2022 Sec. 1609.4, exposure categories (UpCodes)
  6. NCEI Integrated Surface Database: Treasure Island 724943, Oakland airport 724930
  7. NOAA CO-OPS data API (stations 9414290, 9414311, 9414750, 9414769, 9414776, 9414863)
  8. INVELOX wind concentrator review (MDPI Wind, 2025)
  9. USGS Professional Paper 1551-B: Treasure Island in the Loma Prieta earthquake
  10. Treasure Island / Yerba Buena Island Draft EIR, 2010
  11. Graizer and Shakal, Treasure Island downhole array (SMIP2000)
  12. UCSD: geotechnical design for Treasure Island
  13. SF Public Press: $137 million ground fix
  14. SF Public Press: sea level rise design
  15. Treasure Island Infrastructure Plan, 2011
  16. BCDC review of the 5-year sea level rise monitoring report, 2022
  17. CMG: Cityside Park
  18. SF Chronicle: Cityside Park opening, 2025
  19. USGS Elevation Point Query Service (3DEP lidar)
  20. ASSDA: preventing tea staining
  21. Galvanic corrosion, stainless and aluminium (PatSnap)
  22. FGIA/AAMA 2605 (PPG)
  23. DarkSky: five lighting principles
  24. 20 Fenchurch Street reflections (Siemens)
  25. “Death ray” reflections modelled (Physics World)
  26. Hollow hemisphere drag coefficient, 1.42 (Engineers Edge, after Carvill’s Mechanical Engineer’s Data Handbook)
  27. OpenFOAM v1912
  28. ISO 9223 C4 vs C5 for coastal sites (Solaracks)

Every page above was read in full in September 2026. Where a site blocked automated access, the text came from a copy supplied by hand (SF Planning Code Secs. 148 and 139 as currently codified, including the 2013 amendment to Sec. 139; the Solaracks and MDPI pages; DarkSky’s principles).